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NewsDay

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Gwynne Dyer

Gwynne Dyer

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World View: Might Russia use its 'tactical' nukes?

Putin started hinting heavily that he might use nuclear weapons if other countries intervened to prevent his conquest of Ukraine on the very first day of the war.
By Gwynne Dyer Sep. 2, 2022

Italy: The hard right nears power

Giorgia Meloni, the hard-right populist politician who is likely to win that election, rejects any comparison with that ugly past.
By Gwynne Dyer Sep. 23, 2022

World View: Is Putin bluffing about nukes?

Maybe he is just trading on that reputation now, and he really is bluffing this time, but there is no point in following him down that rabbit hole.
By Gwynne Dyer Sep. 30, 2022

World View: Where is everybody? The human speed limit

 As the warming proceeds and the world’s remaining ice melts, sea level rise is going to become a grave problem for every country with a coastline.
By Gwynne Dyer Oct. 7, 2022

Tigray, Ethiopia and other African wars

His thesis would be more convincing if most Yemenis and Afghans and almost all Syrians were not white.
By Gwynne Dyer Oct. 21, 2022

Iran: All options are bad

He may even believe that (he doesn’t get out much), but either way the die is cast. In order to overthrow the regime that the younger generation now reject, they will have to fight it.
By Gwynne Dyer Oct. 28, 2022

World View: Musk: The benign sociopath

Musk sort of realised that buying Twitter was a mistake after his initial enthusiasm died down
By Gwynne Dyer Nov. 4, 2022

World View: War: We are not children

The Pope means well, but he is barking up the wrong tree.
By Gwynne Dyer Nov. 11, 2022

China: The 30-year rule

However, this period lasts, on average, for about three decades and then growth falls back to the familiar old 2%-3% annually.
By Gwynne Dyer Nov. 18, 2022

COP27: A glass half full

So much for the philosophy. What actually happened at Sharm-al-Sheikh?
By Gwynne Dyer Nov. 25, 2022

World View: Russo-Ukraine winter war

Kyiv should settle for the best deal it can get while it still has the advantage militarily.
By Gwynne Dyer Dec. 9, 2022

World View: Peru to Germany — Two coups and some random speculation

The country is going through a bad patch, but its people have concluded that respect for the constitution is good, while coups and dictators are bad.
By Gwynne Dyer Dec. 16, 2022

SA: The overstuffed couch

The point he was making was that the future South Africa that would have delighted him in 1984, but appalled him in 1994, was exactly the same country.
By Gwynne Dyer Dec. 23, 2022

The next Ukrainian offensive

Do not be distracted by the Russian missiles and drones bombarding Ukrainian cities.
By Gwynne Dyer Jan. 6, 2023

Military kills: A shocking disclosure

That was Prince Harry fulfilling his contractual obligation to spill his guts in his new book Spare.
By Gwynne Dyer Jan. 13, 2023

Return of the alliances

But they often also ended up fighting people they had no quarrel with.
By Gwynne Dyer Jan. 20, 2023

World View: Ukraine: Will Western tanks bring victory?

The Doomsday Clock was thought up in 1947 by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists to dramatise the threat of nuclear war.
By Gwynne Dyer Jan. 27, 2023

On the persistence of politicians

Jacinda Ardern, New Zealand’s soon-to-be ex-prime minister, has created her own “happy juncture”.
By Gwynne Dyer Jan. 27, 2023

World View: How to avoid a war with China

This is fostering a fatalistic belief that a war between China and America is inevitable not only in the US, but to a lesser extent also in China.
By Gwynne Dyer Feb. 3, 2023

A bad case of cultural lag

Babiš denied any involvement in that deceit, but his campaign tried to drum up fear of war between Nato and Russia and stressed that he was not aligned with the “reckless” West.
By Gwynne Dyer Feb. 3, 2023

World View: Two failed populist coups: Compare and contrast

Bolsonaro wasn’t even in Brazil. He was in Orlando, Florida, United States when things kicked off in Brasilia. He too had failed to get the military’s support.
By Gwynne Dyer Feb. 10, 2023

‘Geo-engineering’ scam

The “hurricane” was the explosion of the Mount Pinatubo volcano in the Philippines in 1991, which boosted 17 million tonnes of sulphur dioxide (SO2 ) into the stratosphere.
By Gwynne Dyer Feb. 10, 2023

Israel in 2024: Some predictions

Pfeffer doesn’t mean that there will be no more elections or that the Knesset (parliament) will be shut down.
By Gwynne Dyer Feb. 17, 2023

Earthquakes and the blame

 Strong concrete floors and vertical columns separating them, both steel-reinforced, cost a bit more, of course, but they keep your people alive. If you live in an earthquake zone, that’s what you do.
By Gwynne Dyer Feb. 17, 2023

World View: Ukraine war and international law

Macron is seen as “soft” on Russia by many observers
By Gwynne Dyer Feb. 24, 2023

Has the floaty-bag problem been solved?

The Chinese balloon had propellers and a rudder, so it was steerable within limits.
By Gwynne Dyer Feb. 24, 2023

Making lethal molecules

It took Porton Down almost a decade to develop it from the German nerve gases that the British discovered at the end of the Second World War.
By Gwynne Dyer Mar. 3, 2023

Israeli pogrom in Palestine

Huwara is in the northern West Bank. Nobody there under the age of 60 can recall a time when they didn’t live under Israeli military rule
By Gwynne Dyer Mar. 10, 2023

World View: Cyclone Freddy and the ice: Messages from the future

Cyclone Freddy started in the usual place, off northwestern Australia
By Gwynne Dyer Mar. 17, 2023

ICC arrest warrant on Putin

The two invasions are linked. Bush’s wholly unjustified and brutal invasion of Iraq broke the key law on which we built the post-1945 “rule of law” in international affairs.
By Gwynne Dyer Mar. 24, 2023