BY SILAS NKALA
EXILED former Cabinet minister Jonathan Moyo has described Citizens Coalition for Change (CCC) leader Nelson Chamisa as politically green and needed to work harder to guarantee a comprehensive victory in the 2023 elections.
This follows the Mass Public Opinion Institute (MPOI)’s Afrobarometer round nine survey report on Zimbabwe on June 15, 2022, which showed a marked decline ratings of the ruling Zanu PF party leader, Emmerson Mnangagwa, and the rise of Chamisa.
- Survey predicts Chamisa victory
- 51% Zimbos still trust ED: Afro barometer
- ‘Chamisa lacks Tsvangirai’s courage’
Indications were that if presidential elections were to be held under the current environment, the Zanu PF leader would lose to the CCC leader.
Actually, by showing "Chamisa beating Mnangagwa" with 33% over 30% in a presidential election that requires at least 50 + 1 vote to win; means neither Chamisa nor Mnangagwa would win if the vote is held today. With 33%, Chamisa would need 17% + 1 vote to win; a mountain to climb! https://t.co/AT6PG2CEwm
— Prof Jonathan Moyo (@ProfJNMoyo) June 16, 2022
The survey said 33% of respondents would vote for Chamisa against 30% for Mnangagwa.
Writing on his Twitter handle, Moyo said the percentage margin difference between the two leaders meant that the opposition leader even though portrayed as leading, it was not a foregone conclusion that Chamisa would win the polls.
“Actually, by showing ‘Chamisa beating Mnangagwa’ with 33% over 30% in a presidential election that requires at least 50%+1 vote to win; means neither Chamisa nor Mnangagwa would win if the vote is held today. With 33%, Chamisa would need 17%+1 vote to win, a mountain to climb!” Moyo tweeted.
It was the second time that an Afrobarometer survey showed an opposition candidate leading in Zimbabwe.
The first time was in 2009 when the late Movement for Democratic Change founding leader Morgan Tsvangirai led the late Zanu PF leader Robert Mugabe.
"51% ZIMBOS STILL TRUST ED, Afrobarometer" @NewsDayZimbabwe
Their @Twitter polls glorify a dead barbarian, Ian Smith, and show him defeating @edmnangagwa; but Afrobarometer's scientific survey of likely voters in the real world has telling results. Smh!https://t.co/kSfgM9Dl16 pic.twitter.com/sX91EJtn8T
— Prof Jonathan Moyo (@ProfJNMoyo) June 9, 2022
Analysts said there was a systematic pattern in the decline of Mnangagwa’s vote.
Nonsense. "The survey signals that 33 percent of respondents would vote for Chamisa against 30 percent for Mnangagwa"!👇 pic.twitter.com/hRBl9RCy7K
— Prof Jonathan Moyo (@ProfJNMoyo) June 17, 2022
When Mnangagwa took over as President in a 2017 coup, at least 38% of surveyed citizens expressed intentions to vote for him and five years later, this had dramatically dropped to 30%.
Meanwhile, Chamisa’s vote has been growing exponentially. In 2017, only 16% freely expressed intentions to vote for him, but this has gone up to 33% .
- Follow Silas on Twitter @silasnkala